Obshhina v ego zhizni: istorija neskol'kih nauchnyh idej v dokumentah i materialah [The Community in His Life, History of Several Scientific Ideas in Documents and Materials], 2000. ,
Application of Mathematical Models to English Secular Cycles, Cliodynamics: The Journal of Quantitative History and Cultural Evolution, vol.7, issue.1, pp.230872-230873, 2016. ,
DOI : 10.21237/C7CLIO7128325
Involvement of a Capitalist Crisis in the 1900-30 Inequality Trend Reversal, Cliodynamics: The Journal of Quantitative History and Cultural Evolution, vol.8, issue.1, pp.42-47, 2017. ,
DOI : 10.21237/C7CLIO8133347
Cross-National Time-Series Data Archive Available at: https, 2017. ,
Income Inequality Indices and Deprivation: A Generalization, The Quarterly Journal of Economics, vol.100, issue.3, pp.807-810, 1985. ,
DOI : 10.2307/1884380
Contemporary Democracies: Participation, Stability, and Violence, 1982. ,
The Unintended Consequences of Social Action, 2016. ,
DOI : 10.1007/978-1-349-04381-1
It???s the Local Economy, Stupid! Geographic Wealth Dispersion and Conflict Outbreak Location, Journal of Conflict Resolution, vol.55, issue.5, pp.814-840, 2011. ,
DOI : 10.1177/000312240907400208
Global Credit Markets, Political Violence, and Politically Sustainable Risk Premia, International Interactions, vol.55, issue.1, pp.316-342, 2013. ,
DOI : 10.1177/0022002705277802
Economic Causes of Civil Conflict and Their Implications for Policy, 2000. ,
On economic causes of civil war, Oxford Economic Papers, vol.50, issue.4, pp.563-573, 1998. ,
DOI : 10.1093/oep/50.4.563
URL : http://econ.worldbank.org/files/13204_CHEcCauses.pdf
Greed and grievance in civil war, Oxford Economic Papers, vol.56, issue.4, pp.563-595, 2004. ,
DOI : 10.1093/oep/gpf064
URL : http://www.csae.ox.ac.uk/workingpapers/pdfs/20-18text.pdf
A Formal Interpretation of the Theory of Relative Deprivation, Sociometry, vol.22, issue.4, pp.280-296, 1959. ,
DOI : 10.2307/2786046
Toward a Theory of Revolution, American Sociological Review, vol.27, issue.1, pp.5-19, 1962. ,
DOI : 10.2307/2089714
Good for the money, Journal of Peace Research, vol.20, issue.1, pp.391-405, 2012. ,
DOI : 10.1596/978-0-8213-8229-5
Violence and Repression in Latin America: a Quantitative and Historical Analysis, 1976. ,
Inequality and the Instability of Polity and Policy, Economic Journal, vol.118, issue.531, pp.843-860, 2008. ,
DOI : 10.2139/ssrn.748704
Why is the Middle East Burning? An Historical Analysis of the Economic Causes of Conflicts from 1963 to 1999, International Journal of Development and Conflict, vol.4, issue.1, pp.35-48, 2014. ,
Aggressive behaviors within polities, 1948-1962: a cross - national study 1, Journal of Conflict Resolution, vol.8, issue.4, pp.249-271, 1966. ,
DOI : 10.1177/002200276601000103
A Structural Theory of Aggression, Journal of Peace Research, vol.1, issue.2, pp.95-119, 1964. ,
DOI : 10.1086/266433
Revolutions: A Very Short Introduction, 2014. ,
DOI : 10.1093/actrade/9780199858507.001.0001
A Global Model for Forecasting Political Instability, American Journal of Political Science, vol.41, issue.4, pp.190-208, 2010. ,
DOI : 10.1111/j.1540-5907.2007.00308.x
Revolyutsii i nestabil'nost' na Blizhnem Vostoke [Revolutions and Instability in the Near East], 2015. ,
,
Urbanizacija i politicheskaja nestabil'nost': k razrabotke matematicheskih modelej politicheskih processov [Urbanization and Political Instability: Toward the development of Mathematical Models of Political Processes], Political Studies, issue.4, pp.34-52, 2009. ,
Tsikly, krizisy, lovushki sovremennoj Mir-Sistemy: issledovanie kondrat'evskikh, zhyuglyarovskikh i vekovykh tsiklov, global'nykh krizisov, mal'tuzianskikh i postmal'tuzianskikh lovushek [Cycles, Crises, Traps of the Modern World-System: Study of the Kondratieff, Juglar and Secular Cycles Global Crises, 2012. ,
Revolution and Democracy in the Context of the Globalization Dialectics of Modernity ? Recognizing Globalization: Studies on the Theoretical Perspectives of Globalization, E. Kiss), 2014. ,
A Causal Model of Civil Strife: A Comparative Analysis Using New Indices, American Political Science Review, vol.60, issue.04, pp.1104-1124, 1968. ,
DOI : 10.1177/002200276601000301
Persistence and Change in Political Systems, American Political Science Review, vol.68, issue.4, pp.1800-1971, 1974. ,
, Why Men Rebel, 2015.
Civil Conflict in The 1960s, Comparative Political Studies, vol.6, issue.2, pp.135-169, 1973. ,
DOI : 10.2307/1911287
Forecasting Domestic Political Conflict. To Augur Well: Early Warning Indicators in World Politics, pp.153-194, 1979. ,
Relative Deprivation and the Gini Coefficient: Comment, The Quarterly Journal of Economics, vol.95, issue.3, pp.567-573, 1980. ,
DOI : 10.2307/1885094
Political Order in Changing Societies, Verfassung in Recht und ??bersee, vol.3, issue.2, 1968. ,
DOI : 10.5771/0506-7286-1970-2-257
Politicheskij porjadok v menjajushhihsja obshhestvah [Political Order in Changing Societies, 2004. ,
DOI : 10.5771/0506-7286-1970-2-257
URL : https://www.nomos-elibrary.de/10.5771/0506-7286-1970-2-257.pdf
Economic-Growth, Distributional Inequality, and Political-Conflict in Industrial-Societies, Journal of Political & Military Sociology, vol.7, issue.2, pp.209-227, 1979. ,
Income Growth and Revolutions, Social Science Quarterly, vol.35, issue.1, pp.920-937, 2014. ,
DOI : 10.1177/0022343398035001004
Compact Mathematical Models of the World System Development and Their Applicability to the Development of Local Solutions in Third World Countries, Systemic Development: Local Solutions in a Global Environment Litchfield Park: ISCE, pp.103-116, 2009. ,
VVP na dushu naselenija, uroven' protestnoj aktivnosti i tip rezhima: opyt kolichestvennogo analiza [GDP Per Capita, Protest Intensity and Regime Type: A Quantitative Analysis, Comparative Politics, issue.4, pp.72-94, 2016. ,
DOI : 10.18611/2221-3279-2016-7-4(25)-72-94
URL : http://www.comparativepolitics.org/jour/article/download/546/465
VVP na dushu naselenija, intensivnost' antipravitel'stvennyh demonstracij i uroven' obrazovanija: kross-nacional'nyj analiz [GDP Per Capita, the Intensity of the Anti-Government Demonstrations and Education Level: A Cross-National Analysis]. Politia, pp.127-143, 2017. ,
Jekonomicheskij rost i social'no-politicheskaja destabilizacija: opyt global'nogo analiza [Economic Growth and Sociopolitical Destabilization: The Experience of Global Analysis], Political Studies, issue.2, pp.155-169, 2017. ,
Destabilizacija: global'nye, nacional'nye, prirodnye faktory i mehanizmy [Destabilization: Global, National, Natural Factors and Mechanisms], 2016. ,
Kolichestvennyj analiz revolyutsionnoj volny 2013?2014 gg. [Quantitative Analysis of the Revolutionary Wave of 2013?2014]. Sociological Studies, pp.119-127, 2015. ,
Center-Periphery Dissonance as a Possible Factor of the Revolutionary Wave of 2013-2014, Cross-Cultural Research, vol.3, issue.4, pp.461-488, 2015. ,
DOI : 10.13169/arabstudquar.36.2.0149
Lovushka na vykhode iz lovushki: matematicheskoe modelirovanie sotsial'no-politicheskoi destabilizatsii v stranakh mir-sistemnoi periferii i sobytiya Arabskoi vesny 2011 g. [A Trap at the Escape from the Trap: Mathematical Modeling of Sociopolitical Destabilization in the World System Periphery Countries and the Arab Spring Events of 2011]. Modelirovanie i prognozirovanie global'nogo, regional'nogo i natsional'nogo razvitiya [Modeling and Forecasting Global, Regional, and National Development, Moscow: Librokom, pp.210-276, 2012. ,
Gipoteza Olsona?Hantingtona o krivolinejnoj zavisimosti mezhdu urovnem jekonomicheskogo razvitija i social'no-politicheskoj destabilizaciej: opyt kolichestvennogo analiza [Olson?Huntington Hypothesis on a Bell-Shaped Relationship between the Level of Economic Development and Sociopolitical Destabilization: A Quantitative Analysis, Russian Sociological Review, vol.16, issue.1, pp.9-49, 2017. ,
Economic Growth and Income Inequality, American Economic Review, vol.45, issue.1, pp.1-28, 1955. ,
Predicting Political Systems Using Economic, Environmental, and Relational Variables, Social Evolution & History, vol.15, issue.2, pp.164-193, 2016. ,
The Impact of Income on the Taste for Revolt, American Journal of Political Science, vol.25, issue.4, pp.830-848, 2004. ,
DOI : 10.1177/002200277702100106
Income Inequality and the Taste for Revolution, The Journal of Law and Economics, vol.48, issue.1, pp.93-123, 2005. ,
DOI : 10.1086/426881
The Roles of Freedom, Growth, and Religion in the Taste for Revolution, The Journal of Law and Economics, vol.53, issue.2, pp.329-358, 2010. ,
DOI : 10.1086/605093
,
A Macro-Comparative Analysis of the Problem of Factionalism in Emerging Democracies, Paper presented at the 2008 Annual Meeting of the American Political Science Association, 2008. ,
Political Process and the Development of Black Insurgency, 1930. ,
, Interpersonal Trust in Ecuador, the United States, and Zimbabwe. Cross-Cultural Research, pp.393-421, 2015.
Rulers and the Ruled: Patterned Inequality and the Onset of Mass Political Violence, The American Political Science Review, vol.82, issue.2, pp.491-509, 1988. ,
DOI : 10.2307/1957397
Economic Shocks and Civil Conflict: An Instrumental Variables Approach, Journal of Political Economy, vol.112, issue.4, pp.725-753, 2004. ,
DOI : 10.1086/421174
Inequality and Insurgency: A Statistical Study of South Vietnam, World Politics, vol.xvi, issue.03, pp.421-438, 1968. ,
DOI : 10.2307/2009581
Some Econometrics of the Huk Rebellion, American Political Science Review, vol.XI, issue.04, pp.1159-1171, 1969. ,
DOI : 10.1017/S0003055400263259
Political Conflict in the World Economy: A Cross-National Analysis of Modernization and World-System Theories, American Sociological Review, vol.59, issue.2, pp.276-303, 1994. ,
DOI : 10.2307/2096231
The Causes of Racial Disorders: A Grievance-Level Explanation, American Sociological Review, vol.38, issue.5, pp.611-624, 1973. ,
DOI : 10.2307/2094411
On the Social Origins of Dictatorship and Democracy, 1966. ,
DOI : 10.1007/978-1-349-86027-2_4
Injustice: The Social Bases of Obedience and Revolt, 1978. ,
DOI : 10.1007/978-1-349-15916-1
Income Inequality, Regime Repressiveness, and Political Violence, American Sociological Review, vol.50, issue.1, pp.47-61, 1985. ,
DOI : 10.2307/2095339
Inequality and Insurgency, The American Political Science Review, vol.81, issue.2, pp.425-451, 1987. ,
DOI : 10.2307/1961960
Inequality and Discontent: A Nonlinear Hypothesis, World Politics, vol.XXIII, issue.04, pp.453-472, 1974. ,
DOI : 10.1017/S0022050700109210
Income inequality, economic growth, and political instability in sub-Saharan Africa, The Journal of Modern African Studies, vol.41, issue.4, pp.611-639, 2003. ,
DOI : 10.1017/S0022278X03004403
More Inequality, More Killings: The Maoist Insurgency in Nepal, American Journal of Political Science, vol.63, issue.2, pp.886-906, 2011. ,
DOI : 10.1093/sf/63.2.414
, Tradition and Revolt, 1968.
Rapid Growth as a Destabilizing Force, The Journal of Economic History, vol.L, issue.04, pp.529-552, 1963. ,
DOI : 10.1515/9781400876518
Polarization, Horizontal Inequalities and Violent Civil Conflict, Journal of Peace Research, vol.24, issue.4, pp.143-162, 2008. ,
DOI : 10.1080/00220380412331321981
Education and Civil Conflict: A Review of the Quantitative, Empirical Literature. Background Paper to UNESCO's Education for All Global Moni toring Report, 2010. ,
Inequality and Insurgency in Vietnam: A Further Re-Analysis, World Politics, vol.lxv, issue.04, pp.565-578, 1972. ,
DOI : 10.2307/2009629
Economic Determinants of Political Unrest, Journal of Conflict Resolution, vol.8, issue.2, pp.271-91, 1973. ,
DOI : 10.2307/445653
Growth, income distribution, and democracy: What the data say, Journal of Economic Growth, vol.96, issue.1, pp.149-187, 1996. ,
DOI : 10.2307/2296292
'IRI': A Simplified Predictive Index of Rural Instability, Comparative Politics, vol.8, issue.3, pp.339-353, 1976. ,
DOI : 10.2307/421404
Inequality and Instability: The Relation of Land Tenure to Politics, World Politics, vol.XXXV, issue.03, pp.442-454, 1964. ,
DOI : 10.2307/1952322
Economic and Social Correlates of Government Control in South Vietnam, 1968. ,
A Conjunctural Model of Political Conflict, Journal of Conflict Resolution, vol.25, issue.1, pp.98-133, 1996. ,
DOI : 10.2307/2096077
A Cross-National Test of the Linkage Between Economic Inequality and Political Violence, Journal of Conflict Resolution, vol.1, issue.1, pp.105-128, 1977. ,
DOI : 10.1177/002200276701100302
To Augur Well: Early Warning Indicators in World Politics, 1979. ,
Oil Wealth and Regime Survival in the Developing World, 1960-1999, American Journal of Political Science, vol.86, issue.4, pp.232-246, 1960. ,
DOI : 10.2307/1964341
A theory of revolution, Journal of Conflict Resolution, vol.3, issue.3, pp.264-280, 1967. ,
DOI : 10.1177/002200276601000103
Initial Conditions, Social Capital and Growth in Africa, Journal of African Economies, vol.7, issue.3, pp.309-347, 1998. ,
DOI : 10.1093/oxfordjournals.jae.a020954
URL : https://academic.oup.com/jae/article-pdf/7/3/309/2397083/7-3-309.pdf
Jemocii v politicheskom povedenii [Emotions in Political Behavior], 2008. ,
Income Inequality, Average Income, and Domestic Violence, Journal of Conflict Resolution, vol.25, issue.4, pp.639-654, 1981. ,
Some new evidence on correlates of political violence: income inequality, regime repressiveness, and economic development, European Sociological Review, vol.3, issue.2, pp.97-108, 1987. ,
DOI : 10.1093/oxfordjournals.esr.a036448
Cross-National Time-Series Data Archive: User's Manual, 2017. ,
DOI : 10.1002/wics.1392
URL : http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/wics.1392/pdf
GDP Per Capita, PPP (Constant 2011 International $) World Development Indicators Online Available at: http://data.worldbank.org/indicator/NY, GDP. PCAP.PP.KD, 2016. ,
,
GDP Per Capita Growth (Annual %) World Development Indicators Online Available at: http://data.worldbank.org/indicator/NY, GDP.PCAP.KD.ZG, 2016. ,
World Bank Atlas Method Available at: https://datahelpdesk.worldbank.org/knowledgebase/articles/378832-the-world-bank-atlas-method-detailed- methodology, 2016. ,
World Bank Country and Lending Groups Available at: https://datahelpdesk.worldbank.org/knowledgebase/articles/906519-world-bank-country-and- lending-groups, 2016. ,
Historical Classification by Income in XLS Format Available at: http://databank.worldbank.org/data/download/site-content, 2016. ,
Gini Index World Development Indicators Online Available at: http://data.worldbank.org/indicator, 2017. ,
Relative Deprivation and the Gini Coefficient, The Quarterly Journal of Economics, vol.93, issue.2, pp.321-324, 1979. ,
DOI : 10.2307/1883197
, ????????????? ????????, ?????????-???????????? ?????????????? ? ??????????? ?????? ????????
, ?????? ???????????? ????, ?????????, ?????????? ???????????? ??????????? ?????? ?????????-???????????? ?????????????? ????????????? ?????????????????? ???????????? «?????? ????? ?????????» ??????? ??????? ????????? ????????? ?????????????? ??? ?????: ??, ?????? ????????? (PhD)
??????? ??????? ????????? ??????????? ??????????? ?????? ????????????????????? ?????????????? ????????????? ?????????????????? ???????????? «?????? ????? ?????????» ??????? ??????? ????????? ????????? ?????????????? ??? ?????: ??. ?????????, ?. 20, ?. ??????, ?????????? ????????? 101000 E-mail: lgrinin@mail.ru ????????? ?????? ??????? ??????? ????????? ??????????? ??????????? ?????? ?????????-???????????? ?????????????? ????????????? ?????????????????? ???????????? «?????? ????? ?????????» ?????: ?? ,