The Nature and Significance of Kuznets Cycles, Economic Development and Cultural Change, vol.9, issue.3, pp.225-248, 1961. ,
DOI : 10.1086/449905
Modern Financial and Economic Crisis in the Light of the Theory of the Economy's Innovative and Technological Development of Economy and Controlling of Innovative Process, System Monitoring of Global and Regional Development Moscow: LIBROKOM. In Russian, pp.230-258, 2010. ,
Global Inflation Dynamics: Regularities and Forecasts, Structure and Dynamics, vol.5, issue.3, pp.3-18, 2012. ,
Economic Cycles and Economic Development, 2011. ,
About the New Methodology of Long-Term Cyclic Forecasting of World and Russian Economics Development Dynamics, Forecasting and Modeling of Crises and World Dynamics Moscow: LKI/URSS. In Russian, pp.5-69, 2010. ,
Economic Progress and Economic Crises, 1932. ,
Did the Fifth K-Wave Begin in 1990?1992? Has it been Aborted by Globalization?, Kondratieff Waves, Warfare and World Security, pp.57-71, 2006. ,
,
Long Waves: A Selective Annotated Bibliography, Review, vol.2, issue.4, pp.675-718, 1979. ,
, th K-wave downswing and the 5 th K-wave upswing one could observe the change of the World System trend toward the growing divergence between the Core and Periphery to the trend toward convergence . Before this switch of the global trends the gap between the Core and the Periphery tended to increase; now it tends to decrease, Korotayev et al. Korotayev and Khaltourina Khaltourina and Korotayev, vol.4, 2009.
As a result, as has been mentioned above, we could observe the decrease of the gap between the Core and the Periphery already during the 5 th K-wave upswing. Note, that if the hypothesis that we have spelled out above is true, then we should expect the acceleration of the Core ? Periphery convergence during the current, 2010. ,
War and the Pattern of Business Cycles, American Economic Review, vol.30, pp.524-535, 1940. ,
Long Wave Rhythms in Economic Development and Political Behavior, 1991. ,
Weather and Harvest Cycles, The Economic Journal, vol.31, pp.429-449, 1921. ,
Wheat Prices and Rainfall in Western Europe, Journal of the Royal Statistical Society, vol.85, issue.3, pp.412-475, 1922. ,
DOI : 10.2307/2341183
Kondratieff Long Waves in Aggregate Output? An Econometric Test, Konjunkturpolitik, vol.30, issue.5, pp.279-303, 1984. ,
Macro-cycles in the Economy of Latin America's Countries. Moscow: Institution of Latin America, RAS, 2004. ,
, British Petroleum Statistical Review of World Energy, BP, 1971.
Economic Crises. The Experience of Mythology and Theory of Cyclical Economic Crises and Conjunctures' Theories. Moscow: Mysl, 1915. ,
The Americans. The Colonial Experience. Moscow: Progress-Litera, 1993. ,
The Americans. The National Experience. Moscow: Progress-Litera, 1993. ,
World-Systems Analysis, Annual Review of Sociology, vol.21, issue.1, pp.387-417, 1995. ,
DOI : 10.1146/annurev.so.21.080195.002131
The Fifty Year Cycle: A Look at the Empirical Evidence, Long Waves in the World Economy, pp.164-182, 1983. ,
The Conference Board Total Economy Database URL: http://www.conference-board.org/data, 2011. ,
Alternative Futures for K-Waves, Kondratieff Waves, Warfare and World Security, pp.311-317, 2006. ,
The biological determinants of long-wave behavior in socioeconomic growth and development, Technological Forecasting and Social Change, vol.68, issue.1, pp.1-57, 2001. ,
DOI : 10.1016/S0040-1625(01)00136-6
The nonlinear dynamics of technoeconomic systems, Technological Forecasting and Social Change, vol.69, issue.4, pp.317-357, 2002. ,
DOI : 10.1016/S0040-1625(01)00155-X
The growth dynamics of the Internet and the long wave theory, Technological Forecasting and Social Change, vol.72, issue.8, pp.913-935, 2005. ,
DOI : 10.1016/j.techfore.2005.06.001
Power law behavior and world system evolution: A millennial learning process, Technological Forecasting and Social Change, vol.70, issue.9, pp.819-859, 2003. ,
DOI : 10.1016/S0040-1625(03)00011-8
Civil War to the Present, History of the United States, vol.2, 1992. ,
Technology and Cycles of Boom and Bust, Science, vol.219, issue.4587, pp.933-936, 1983. ,
DOI : 10.1126/science.219.4587.933
Economic Cycles under Test: A Spectral Analysis, Kondratieff Waves, Warfare and World Security, pp.39-47, 2006. ,
URL : https://hal.archives-ouvertes.fr/hal-00279460
The long wave in economic life, De Economist, vol.55, issue.II, pp.544-576, 1979. ,
DOI : 10.2307/2097526
Fluctuations in innovations overtime, Futures, vol.13, issue.4, pp.264-275, 1981. ,
DOI : 10.1016/0016-3287(81)90143-9
The long wave in economic life, De Economist, vol.55, issue.II, 1983. ,
DOI : 10.2307/2097526
Des mouvements economiques generaux, 1947. ,
LONG WAVES IN THE DEVELOPMENT OF CAPITALISM?, Kyklos, vol.6, issue.3, pp.383-419, 1980. ,
DOI : 10.1017/S0022050700070686
The Condition of the Working Class in England, American Journal of Public Health, vol.93, issue.8, 1845. ,
DOI : 10.2105/AJPH.93.8.1246
A SPECTRAL ANALYSIS OF THE KONDRATIEFF-CYCLE, Kyklos, vol.35, issue.3, pp.468-499, 1982. ,
DOI : 10.1111/j.1467-6435.1982.tb01226.x
Innovation and the Economic Long Wave. MIT System Dynamics Group working paper, 1978. ,
The Kondratieff Cycle and Changing Economic Conditions. MIT System Dynamics Group working paper, 1981. ,
Economic Conditions Ahead: Understanding the Kondratieff Wave, Futurist, vol.19, issue.3, pp.16-20, 1985. ,
Technical Innovation, Diffusion, and Long Cycles of Economic Development The Long-Wave Debate, pp.295-309, 1987. ,
Kondratieff's Theory of Long Cycles, The Review of Economics and Statistics, vol.25, issue.4, pp.203-220, 1943. ,
DOI : 10.2307/1927337
Springvloed: Beschouwingen over industrieele ontwikkeling en prijsbeweging (Spring Tides of Industrial Development and Price Movements), 1913. ,
,
The Theory of Long-Term Technical Economic Development, 1993. ,
Long Waves in Economic Development: Causes and Empirical Evidence, Long Waves in the World Economy, pp.135-163, 1983. ,
Long Cycles: Prosperity and War in the Modern Age, 1988. ,
Up and Down the Long Roller Coaster, Crisis, pp.22-34, 1978. ,
Europe Reshaped, pp.1848-1878, 1999. ,
Globalization and National Sovereignty. Istoria i sovremennost, pp.6-31, 2005. ,
Globalization and the Process of National Sovereignty's Transformation, Vek globalizatsii, vol.1, pp.86-97, 2008. ,
National Sovereignty and the Process of Globalization (Preliminary Notes), Polis, vol.1, pp.123-133, 2008. ,
Globalization and the Models of Sovereignty's Transformation in Western and Non-Western Countries The Man and the Nature: The Challenge and the Answer Moscow: IATs-Energia, pp.56-88, 2008. ,
National Sovereignty in the Globalization's Era. Sovereignty, Transformation of Notions and Practices, pp.104-128, 2008. ,
Globalization and Sovereignty: Why do States Abandon Their Sovereign Prerogatives?, Age of Globalization, vol.1, pp.22-32, 2008. ,
Transformation of Sovereignty and Globalization, Hierarchy and Power in the History of Civilisations: Political Aspects of Modernity, pp.191-224, 2008. ,
DOI : 10.2139/ssrn.1446647
Will the Global Crisis Lead to Global Changes? Vek globalizatsii, pp.117-140, 2009. ,
Globalization and the Transformation of National Sovereignty, Systemic Development: Local Solutions in a Global Environment, pp.47-53, 2009. ,
,
Which Global Transformations would the Global Crisis Lead To?, Age of Globalization, vol.2, pp.31-52, 2010. ,
URL : https://hal.archives-ouvertes.fr/hprints-01830732
The Evolution of Statehood. From Early State to Global Society, 2011. ,
, Social Macroevolution. Genesis and Transformations of the World-System. Moscow: LIBROCOM. In Russian, 2009.
Global Crisis in Retrospect: A Brief History of Rises and Crises; From Lycurgus to Alan Greenspan, Moscow: LIBROCOM. In Russian, 2009. ,
Will the Global Crisis Lead to Global Transformations? Part 2. The Coming Epoch of New Coalitions, Journal of Globalization Studies, vol.1, issue.2, pp.166-183, 2010. ,
Cycles, Crises, Traps of the Modern World System. The Study of Kondratieff, Juglar and Secular Cycles, Global Crises, Malthusian and Post- Malthusian Traps, Moscow: LKI/URSS. In Russian, 2012. ,
A Mathematical Model of Juglar Cycles and the Current Global Crisis, History & Mathematics: Processes and Models of Global Dynamics, pp.138-187, 2010. ,
Cycles of the Modern World-System's Development, Moscow: LIBROCOM. In Russian, 2011. ,
, Global Transformations. Politics, Economics and Culture, 1999.
Innovation Dynamism and Economic Growth. A Nonlinear Perspective, 2006. ,
The Greater Divergence: China, Europe, and the Making of the Modern World Economy, The Journal of Asian Studies, vol.61, issue.2, pp.501-538, 2002. ,
DOI : 10.2307/2700299
The Taipings' Peasant War, Moscow: Nauka. In Russian, 1967. ,
La monnaie unique europeenne et son lien au developpement economique et social coordonne: une analyse cliometrique, Thèse. Montpellier, 2008. ,
System Monitoring of Global and Regional Development, System Monitoring: Global and Regional Development Moscow: LIBROCOM/URSS. In Russian, pp.11-118, 2010. ,
Cycles and Trends in Economic Factors, The Review of Economics and Statistics, vol.5, issue.1, pp.10-16, 1923. ,
DOI : 10.2307/1927031
Who Was Right? Kuznets in 1930 or Schumpeter in 1939, Kondratieff Waves, Warfare and World Security, pp.118-127, 2006. ,
World Economy and its Conjuncture During and After the War. Vologda: Regional Branch of the State Publishing House, 1922. ,
The Major Cycles of the Conjuncture, Voprosy Konyuktury, vol.1, issue.1, pp.28-79, 1925. ,
Die langen Wellen der Konjunktur, Archiv für Sozialwissenschaft und Sozialpolitik, vol.56, issue.3, pp.573-609, 1926. ,
The Major Cycles of the Conjuncture. Presentations and their Discussion in the Institute of Economics. Moscow: Institute of Economics, 1928. ,
The Long Waves in Economic Life, The Review of Economics and Statistics, vol.17, issue.6, pp.105-115, 1935. ,
DOI : 10.2307/1928486
The Long Wave Cycle, 1984. ,
The Major Cycles of the Conjuncture and the Theory of Forecast . Moscow: Economika, 1926. ,
Introduction to Social Macrodynamics: Secular Cycles and Millennial Trends in Africa, 2006. ,
Modern Tendencies of World Development. Moscow: LIBROCOM/URSS, 2009. ,
The Laws of History. Secular Cycles and Millennium Trends, Demography. Economy, Wars, vol.3, 2010. ,
The Law of History: Mathematical Modeling and Forecasting of World and Regional Development, Moscow: LKI/URSS. In Russian, 2010. ,
Introduction to Social Macrodynamics: Secular Cycles and Millennial Trends, 2006. ,
DOI : 10.21237/c7clio7230484
URL : https://cloudfront.escholarship.org/dist/prd/content/qt0xt1v06c/qt0xt1v06c.pdf?t=omie7a
Kondratieff Waves in the World Economic Dynamics, A. V. System Monitoring: Global and Regional Development Moscow: LIBROCOM/URSS. In Russian, pp.189-229 ,
Kondratieff Waves in the World Economic Dynamics Moscow: LKI/URSS, Prognosis and Modeling of Crises and World Dynamics, pp.5-69 ,
A Spectral Analysis of World GDP Dynamics: Kondratieff Waves, Kuznets Swings, Juglar and Kitchin Cycles in Global Economic Development , and the, Economic Crisis. Structure and Dynamics, vol.4, issue.1, pp.3-579, 2008. ,
Kondratieff waves in global invention activity (1900???2008), Kondratieff Waves in Global Invention Activity, pp.1280-1284, 1900. ,
DOI : 10.1016/j.techfore.2011.02.011
Global Unconditional Convergence among Larger Economies after 1998, Journal of Globalization Studies, vol.2, issue.2, pp.25-62, 2011. ,
Spectral Analysis and Cluster Analysis as Mathematical Methods for the Periodization of Historical Processes? Kondratieff Cycles ? Appearance or Reality? Proceedings of the Seventh International Economic History Congress, Edinburgh: International Economic History Congress, pp.79-86, 1978. ,
Leads and Lags in an Escalation Model of Capitalist Development: Kondratieff Cycles Reconsidered, Proceedings of the Eighth International Economic History Congress Budapest: International Economic History Congress, 1982. ,
The Taiping Rebellion The Cambridge History of China Late Ch'ing Cambridge, pp.1800-1911, 1978. ,
Secular Movements in Production and Prices. Their Nature and their Bearing upon Cyclical Fluctuations, 1930. ,
Long Swings in the Growth of Population and in Related Economic Variables, Proceeding of the American Philosophical Society, vol.102, issue.1, pp.25-52, 1958. ,
USA, 1975. ,
DOI : 10.1093/019828053X.003.0031
USA, 1976. ,
DOI : 10.1093/019828053X.003.0031
The USA in the War and Post-War Period, Moscow: Nauka. In Russian, 1978. ,
Rebellion of Peoples of Southwestern China in the 1850s ? 1870s, Moscow: Nauka. In Russian, 1986. ,
The Information and Molecular Ages: Will K-Waves Persist?, Kondratieff Waves, Warfare and World Security, pp.260-269, 2006. ,
The Ch'ing Restoration The Cambridge History of China Late Ch'ing Cambridge, pp.1800-1911, 1978. ,
Neurotechnology and Society, Annals of the New York Academy of Sciences, vol.1031, pp.229-233, 2004. ,
Monitoring the World Economy, pp.1820-1992, 1995. ,
Monitoring the World Economy: A Millennial Perspective, 2001. ,
The World Economy: Historical Statistics, 2003. ,
World Population, GDP and Per Capita GDP, A.D. 1?, 2003. ,
World Population, GDP and Per Capita GDP, A.D. 1?, 2008. ,
Introduction to Evolutionary Macroeconomics. Moscow: Yaponiya segodnya, 1997. ,
History of the Commonwealth of Australia, Moscow: Nauka. In Russian, 1971. ,
System Analysis of World Dynamics: Interaction between the Center and the Periphery of the World System, Prognosis and Modeling of Crises and World Dynamics Moscow: LKI/URSS. In Rus- sian, pp.234-248, 2010. ,
Late Capitalism, 1975. ,
Long Waves of Capitalist Development, 1980. ,
DOI : 10.1016/0016-3287(81)90148-8
Society as a Learning System, Discovery, Invention, and Innovations Cycles Revisited. Technological Forecast and Social Change, vol.18, pp.257-282, 1980. ,
Fifty-year pulsation in human affairs, Futures, vol.18, issue.3, pp.376-388, 1986. ,
DOI : 10.1016/0016-3287(86)90020-0
Infrastructures for movement, Cities and Their Vital Systems, pp.146-174, 1988. ,
DOI : 10.1016/0040-1625(87)90053-9
Theory and History of Economic Crises and Cycles. Vols 1?2. Moscow: Social and Economic Literature Publishing House, 1959. ,
Stalemate in Technology ? Innovations Overcome the Depression, 1979. ,
A Re-examination of Long Waves in Aggregate Production Series, New Findings in Long Wave Research, pp.80-119, 1992. ,
DOI : 10.1007/978-1-349-22450-0_4
Langfristige Wachstumsschwankungen ? Trends, Zyklen, Strukturbrüche oder Zufall?, Kondratieffs Zyklen der Wirtschaft. An der Schwelle neuer Vollbeschäftigung? (S, pp.283-307, 1998. ,
Empirical Evidence and Causation of Kondratieff Cycles, Kondratieff Waves, Warfare and World Security, pp.91-99, 2006. ,
What causes K-waves?, Technological Forecasting and Social Change, vol.68, issue.1, pp.75-80, 2001. ,
DOI : 10.1016/S0040-1625(00)00125-6
Global Political Evolution, Long Cycles, and K-Waves, Kondratieff Waves, Warfare and World Security, pp.293-302, 2006. ,
Leading Sectors and World Politics: The Coevolution of Global Politics and Economics, 1996. ,
A Model of Demographic Cycles in Traditional Societies: The Case of Ancient China, Social Evolution and History, vol.3, issue.1, pp.69-80, 2004. ,
History of China: The Qing Era. The 17 th ? the Early 20 th Century. Moscow: Vostochnaya literatura, 2005. ,
Philosophy of Historical Prognosis: Rhythm of History and Prospects of World Development in the First Half of the 21 st Century. Dubna: Feniks+, 2006. ,
Causal mechanisms of long waves, Futures, vol.40, issue.9, pp.788-794, 2008. ,
DOI : 10.1016/j.futures.2008.07.010
Technological Revolutions and Financial Capital. Dynamics of Bubbles and Periods of Prosperity. Moscow: Delo, 2011. ,
Agricultural Development in China 1368?1968, 1969. ,
Study of Patent Applications' Dynamics as an Instrument for Analysis of Innovative Development of Energetics Moscow: Krasand, Projects and Risks of the Future: Concepts, pp.323-336, 2011. ,
Some Stabilization of Conservative Government and Growth of Economic Expansion Moscow: Nauka, History of Japan, pp.249-1970, 1945. ,
Leading sectors, lead economies, and economic growth, Review of International Political Economy, vol.8, issue.4, pp.689-719, 2001. ,
DOI : 10.1017/CBO9780511720635
Growth, Trade and Systemic Leadership, 2004. ,
DOI : 10.3998/mpub.11832
Uneven Economic Growth and the World Economy???s North-South Stratification, International Studies Quarterly, vol.44, issue.1, pp.579-605, 2008. ,
DOI : 10.1007/978-1-349-04172-5
Limits to Globalization and North-South Divergence, 2009. ,
Kondratieff, Schumpeter, and Kuznets: Trend Periods Revisited, The Journal of Economic History, vol.35, issue.04, pp.719-753, 1975. ,
DOI : 10.1017/S0022050700073745
The World Economy: History and Prospect, 1978. ,
DOI : 10.1007/978-1-349-04172-5
History of the USA, Moscow: Nauka. In Russian, pp.1607-1877, 1983. ,
Business Cycles, 1939. ,
DOI : 10.1522/030021081
Kondratieff Cycles in the 20 th Century, Or How Economic Prognoses Come True, 2009. ,
The Economic Long Wave: A Survey of Evidence. MIT System Dynamics Group working paper, 1982. ,
The Dynamics of Business: An Analysis of Trends, Cycles, and Time Relationships in American Economic Activity since 1700 and Their Bearing upon Governmental and Business Policy, 1943. ,
From the 'Washington' towards a 'Vienna Consensus'? A Quantitative Analysis on Globalization, Development and Global Governance, Buenos Aires: Centro Argentino de Estudios Internacionales, 2006. ,
Global Terrorism and World Political Cycles, History and Mathematics: Analyzing and Modeling Global Development, pp.99-126, 2006. ,
The Kondratieff Wave as Global Social Process, World System History, Encyclopedia of Life Support Systems, 2007. ,
Monetary Crisis (1821?1938) Moscow: The USSR Academy of Sciences, 1939. ,
, Cyclic Industrial Crises, 1913.
Historical Dynamics: Why States Rise and Fall, 2003. ,
DOI : 10.2307/j.ctt1wf4d45
Dynamical Feedbacks between Population Growth and Sociopolitical Instability in Agrarian States, Structure and Dynamics, vol.1, 2005. ,
War and Peace and War: Life Cycles of Imperial Nations, 2005. ,
Population Density and Warfare: A Reconsideration, Social Evolution and History, vol.5, issue.2, pp.121-158, 2006. ,
Secular Cycles, 2009. ,
The Long Wave in the World Economy, 1992. ,
, Population Division Database, United Nations. 2012
Bureau of the Census World Population Information, 2012. ,
Economic cycles and socialist policies, Futures, vol.16, issue.6, pp.579-585, 1984. ,
DOI : 10.1016/0016-3287(84)90120-4
Prosperitats-und Depressionsperioden, pp.13-43, 1924. ,
World Development Indicators Online, 2012. ,
, Statistics on Patents Total Number of Patent Grants by Resident and Non-Resident URL: http://www.wipo.int/export/sites, WIPO = World Intellectual Property Organization. 2012a, 1985.
, Statistics on Patents. Patent Grants by Patent Office by Resident and Non-resident. URL: http://www. wipo.int/export/sites, WIPO = World Intellectual Property Organization, 2012.
, Kondratieff Heritage: View from the 21 st Century. Moscow: MFK. In Russian, 2001.
A People's History of the United States. 1492 ? Present, 1995. ,
On the Assessment of the Kondratieff Cycle and Related Issues, Prospects of Economic Growth, pp.183-222, 1980. ,
,