Skip to Main content Skip to Navigation
New interface
Book sections

The Tiger and the Dragon (Development Models and Perspectives of India and China)

Abstract : In the coming decades in the process of globalization the position of the USA and Europe will weaken, while the role of developing countries will increase. The role of the two largest emerging economies – China and India – will be of special significance. What future will these fast-growing giants face? The demographers agree that pretty soon India will lead the world in population and thus surpass China, while China will encounter serious population ageing. But economic and political scenarios of the future are quite different: from resounding success and world leadership to collapse caused by demographic and socio-political troubles. Which of them is more feasible? In the present article I analyze the Chinese and Indian development models separately and comparatively and make prognosis of their perspectives in the twenty-first century. Such an analysis could be helpful for understanding Russia's ways of development.
Complete list of metadata

Cited literature [93 references]  Display  Hide  Download
Contributor : Leonid Grinin Connect in order to contact the contributor
Submitted on : Friday, August 24, 2018 - 11:14:07 AM
Last modification on : Tuesday, July 14, 2020 - 11:04:04 AM
Long-term archiving on: : Sunday, November 25, 2018 - 1:35:20 PM


Explicit agreement for this submission


  • HAL Id : hprints-01861207, version 1



Leonid Grinin. The Tiger and the Dragon (Development Models and Perspectives of India and China) . Leonid Grinin, Ilya V. Ilyin, Andrey V. Korotayev. Globalistics and Globalization Studies: Aspects & Dimensions of Global Views., 2014, Uchitel, pp.184-208, 2014, 978-5-7057-4028-4. ⟨hprints-01861207⟩



Record views


Files downloads